"I have something to say to every family listening to us tonight: Your children can go on to college. If you know a child from a poor family, tell her not to give up-she can go on to college. If you know a young couple struggling with bills, worried they won't be able to send their children to college, tell them not to give up-their children can go on to college. If you know somebody who's caught in a dead-end job and afraid he can't afford the classes necessary to get better jobs for the rest of his life, tell him not to give up-he can go on to college. Because of the things that have been done, we can make college as universal in the 21st century as high school is today. And, my friends, that will change the face and future of America." President Bill Clinton State of the Union Address January 27, 1998 |
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
More and more, college is the gateway to the American Dream. Education may be the most important investment we make in our lifetimes. It holds the key to good citizenship, enriched lives, and economic prosperity-both for ourselves as individuals and for us as a nation.
The economic returns to college are higher than ever before, and more Americans than ever are going to college. In 1998, young men who completed at least a bachelor's degree earned 150 percent the salary of their peers with no more than a high school diploma-and young women earned twice as much if they had graduated from college. A college graduate earns $600,000 more over a lifetime, on average, than a high school graduate. And the real rate of return on a college investment is 12 percent-nearly twice the historical average of the stock market.
Over the past seven years, we have more than doubled our investment in student aid. As a nation, we need to help America's parents pay for their children's college education and their own continuing education. For seven years, President Clinton and Vice President Gore have sought to make colleges and universities, community colleges, and trade schools universally affordable for all Americans. The Clinton-Gore approach is three-pronged:
The Clinton-Gore commitment to opening the doors of college is the largest investment in higher education since the G.I. Bill. College is affordable for all Americans, and more and more of us are benefiting from it. The evidence is in:
This report describes President Clinton and Vice President Gore's efforts to expand college scholarships, make student loans more affordable, and close the college opportunity gap. It describes the impact these efforts have had on college preparation, enrollment, and completion. Finally, it outlines the challenges that continue to face all of us who care about expanding and equalizing college opportunity.
MORE COLLEGE SCHOLARSHIPS
More financial aid is available for college than ever before. Since 1993, new college tax credits and national service programs-as well as the greater availability of federal scholarships for low-income families-have opened the door to higher education for millions of students who otherwise could not afford it. The federal government will provide over $60 billion in 2001 aid, including the Hope Scholarship and Lifetime Learning tax credits, compared to only about $25 billion in 1993. Today, students are going to college in record numbers.
College and lifelong learning are more important than ever before. One hundred years ago, we passed laws requiring every child to attend school. Fifty years ago, we extended public schools to 12 years and passed the G.I. Bill to open the doors of college to middle-class Americans. Today, as we enter the 21st century-stepping confidently into the Information Age and an era of global economic competition-we must expand postsecondary education opportunities for everyone.
The Clinton Administration has been dedicated to expanding scholarships for needy students. The cost of college makes a difference for students from low-income families. Some scholars believe, for instance, that a $100 increase in the cost of college decreases the enrollment of lower-income students by about 1 percent.
Since 1994, AmeriCorps has allowed more than 150,000 Americans to strengthen their community while earning help to pay for college. AmeriCorps members tutor children, fight crime, build houses, and do countless other things to improve lives and bring people together. AmeriCorps has made available nearly $400 million dollars to help participants achieve their dream of a college education while improving their communities.
MORE AFFORDABLE STUDENT LOANS
Many working families could not afford to pay for college without college loans. Although a college education usually pays for itself in higher earnings many times over, immediate liquidity problems may be a major obstacle for many families. As a result, an accessible and affordable student loan program is essential to college access.
In 1993, the student loan program needed serious reform.
In 1993, President Clinton revolutionized college loans by championing the Direct Student Loan program. The Direct Loan system applies free-market principles effectively: It raises capital less expensively through U.S. Treasury bond sales and delivers and services loans through competitively awarded, performance-based contracts with top-quality private firms.
For students, reform means more accessible, cheaper loans. Students now can repay their loans as a share of their income and have saved $9 billion through lower interest rates and fees.
For taxpayers, the student loan reform means billions in savings.
For schools, student loan reform slashed administrative burdens.
By signing a tax deduction for student loan interest into law in 1997, President Clinton complemented these reforms. This legislation-which reinstated a provision that had been repealed in the 1980s-will, for example, provide $144 in tax relief to a college graduate earning $25,000 a year and struggling to repay her $12,000 debt. This year, President Clinton asked Congress to expand the student loan interest deduction because current law covers only the first 60 months of loan repayment.
In sum, there was little competition in the student loan program in 1993. The Direct Loan program gave students and schools a choice, injecting healthy competition into the marketplace. Students have saved $9 billion in interest and fees and enjoyed new tools to manage their debt, including income-contingent repayment. Taxpayers have saved an additional $6 billion. Today we have two leaner, more competitive, customer-focused programs.
NEW PATHS TO COLLEGE AND SUCCESSFUL CAREERS
Student aid matters, but more is needed to expand college opportunities for all Americans. The Clinton Administration has substantially expanded the federal government's investment in student aid through the Hope and Lifetime Learning tax credits, cheaper and more widely available student loans, and larger Pell Grant scholarships for needy students. But too many students still limit their potential by ruling out education beyond high school. Research indicates that financial aid is not enough-we must intervene in the lives of poor and minority youth to raise their expectations and help them prepare for college, and do so early enough to make a difference.
The GEAR UP initiative is raising expectations of disadvantaged students. In his 1998 State of the Union address, President Clinton proposed a new initiative to make a difference for students in high-poverty schools. Ten months later, Congress enacted GEAR UP-Gaining Early Awareness and Readiness for Undergraduate Programs-with broad bipartisan support. This academic year, its first in operation, the GEAR UP initiative is giving hope, raising expectations, and creating college opportunities for over 450,000 disadvantaged children. Next year it will grow to 750,000 students, and President Clinton requested $325 million to serve 1.4 million students in 2001-02.
The Clinton Administration has also expanded the TRIO programs to promote college success. TRIO is a network of initiatives designed to help low-income, first-generation college, and disabled individuals achieve academic success beginning in middle school, throughout college, and into graduate school. Since 1993, funding for the programs has increased by two-thirds, from $388 million to $645 million. Named TRIO in the late 1960s after its first three programs-Upward Bound, Talent Search, and Student Support Services-TRIO now serves 730,000 students. The eight TRIO programs include:
This year, one million college students will have work-study jobs, over 250,000 more than in 1993. Federal work-study funds have increased 43 percent since 1993. Work-study jobs both expand opportunity and teach responsibility and employment skills. And through the America Reads and America Counts initiatives, work-study students at 1200 schools serve as reading and math tutors in their communities.
Other important Clinton-Gore initiatives have helped young people and their parents set their sights high as they plan for the future:
These initiatives complement the Clinton Administration's efforts to strengthen elementary and secondary education:
TRENDS IN HIGHER EDUCATION
President Clinton and Vice President Gore have worked hard to expand college opportunity, and our country has seen remarkable results. As the benefits of college, high academic standards, and student aid grow, so too do high school and college completion rates. Although a "college opportunity gap" still faces many minority and low-income students, our society is making headway in promoting equal educational opportunity for all our citizens.
The Benefits of Postsecondary Education
The real rate of return on a college investment is 12 percent- nearly twice the historical average of the stock market. This figure is based on only earnings; the documented benefits of higher education such as job benefits, better health, and more informed investments and purchases might double the value of higher education. Finally, society's return on its investment in higher education, in higher tax revenues and lower crime and welfare rates, is also roughly 12 percent.
The economic power of higher education is growing steadily, especially for women, as technology and knowledge increasingly drive our nation's economy. Whereas young men and women in 1980 who completed at least a bachelor's degree earned 19 percent and 52 percent more, respectively, than their peers with no more than a high school diploma, by 1998 the earnings gap had grown to 56 percent among men and 100 percent among women. In other words, women with a bachelor's or higher degree now earn twice as much as women with no more than a high school diploma. Similarly, young adults with only a high school diploma earned 30 percent more than young adults who dropped out of high school.
Jobs that require a college degree are growing twice as fast as others. The 20 occupations with the highest earnings all require at least a bachelor's degree. The growing importance of education is illustrated by the demand for technology skills: In 1997, for example, information-technology workers earned 78 percent more than workers in all industries combined-up from 56 percent above average in 1989.
Higher levels of education encourage additional education over a lifetime-an increasingly important activity in an age of rapid technological and economic change.
Finally, higher levels of education are associated with more active citizenship. In the 1998 congressional elections, college graduates between 25 and 44 years old were 77 percent more likely to vote than high school graduates. High school dropouts were 52 percent less likely to vote than high school graduates. Voting patterns in the 1996 presidential election were similar.
High School Dropout and Completion Rates
Fewer students drop out of school than in the 1980s and 1970s. During the 1990s, around 11 to 12 percent of 16- to 24-year-olds had not completed a high school program and were not enrolled in school, compared to 13 percent to 14 percent in the 1980s and over 14 percent in the 1970s. In 1998 and 1999, around 88 percent of 25- to 29-year-olds had completed high school.
Progress has been especially strong among African Americans, whose high school completion rate now slightly exceeds the national average. While there has been some progress, the dropout rate among Hispanic youth remains too high. During the 1990s, around 30 percent of Hispanic 16- to 24-year-olds had not completed a high school program and were not enrolled in school, down only slightly from around 33 percent during the 1970s.
College Preparedness
Academic intensity of students high school curriculum is a dominant determinant of whether they will earn a college degree, according to U.S. Department of Education research. Rigor of curriculum is a better predictor of college completion than test scores or class rank and GPA, and the positive impact of the high school curriculum is far more pronounced for African-American and Hispanic students than any other pre-college indicator of academic resources.
So it is heartening that students who finish high school are better prepared for college than they were a decade ago. Between 1990 and 1998, the percentage of high school graduates who have taken four years of English and three years each of math, science, and social studies increased from 38 percent to 55 percent, with large increases across all racial and ethnic groups.
Advanced Placement test-taking is at an all-time high. In 1999, over 704,000 students took college-level AP exams; 55 percent of the test-takers were women and 30 percent were minority students, including the highest proportions of African American and Hispanic students ever. Fifty-six percent of high schools offer AP classes today, compared to only 40 percent in 1989. As a result, more students are entering college with experience in college-level curriculum than ever before.
Scores on the Scholastic Assessment Test are rising. SAT scores, especially in math, have gone up over the past 10 years, and the number of test-takers reached an all-time high last year-even as a larger and more diverse group of students took the test. Average verbal and math scores have risen among all racial and ethnic groups except Mexican Americans and Hispanics/Latinos.
College Enrollment and Educational Attainment
High school graduates are enrolling in college in record numbers. The percentage of high school graduates going straight to college rose from 60 percent in 1990 to 66 percent in 1998. These rates of college-going exceed comparable rates during the 1980s, when only 50 percent to 60 percent of high school graduates immediately enrolled in college.
Much of this progress is due to substantial increases in college attendance among women, who now go straight to college at higher rates than men. Lower-income students continue to go straight to college at significantly lower rates than higher-income students, and African Americans and Hispanics go straight to college at lower rates than whites. Nevertheless, the gaps have narrowed somewhat since the mid-1980s and, for the first time, a majority of young African-Americans is enrolling in higher education
More Americans are earning college degrees. The percentage of 25- to 29-year-olds with a bachelor's or higher degree rose from 27 percent in 1990 to over 32 percent in 1999. Progress among white women account for much of this gain; while less than 29 percent of white women had completed a bachelor's degree in 1990, over 37 percent had done so in 1999. African American women have also made substantial progress; around 19 percent had completed a bachelor's degree in 1999, up from 13 percent to 14 percent at the start of the decade. However, African American men and Hispanic men and women have not shown consistently strong gains over this period. The rates of degree attainment for these groups continue to hover at roughly half the rates for whites.
Educational attainment among women increased rapidly over the past decade, continuing a trend beginning in the 1970s. Their rates of educational attainment have increased more rapidly than rates among men. By 1999, among 25- to 29-year-olds, women had higher rates than men for completing high school and some college, and there were no differences in the percentages of men and women with a bachelor's or higher degree.
THE ROAD AHEAD
We can all be proud of our colleges and universities. They are preparing more of our youth from more diverse backgrounds for a more challenging future than ever before. Two-thirds of our high school graduates are immediately enrolling in college and trade school, the most ever. And workers with a bachelor's degree earn 50 to 100 percent more than do their peers with only a high school diploma.
Yet as we enter the 21st century, we face new challenges. We must redouble our efforts to help all students who enter college or trade school earn their degrees and certificates. More than one-third of students who enter college or trade school drop out before they earn a certificate or degree. The problem is particularly acute among minorities: 29 to 31 percent of African Americans and Hispanics drop out of college in their first year, compared to 18 percent of whites.
In his Fiscal Year 2001 budget, President Clinton proposed new critical investments in higher education, training, and youth opportunities as part of his New Opportunity Agenda:
Over the past seven years, President Clinton and Vice President Gore have implemented an unprecedented array of initiatives to expand college opportunities. The new Hope Scholarship and Lifetime Learning tax credits provide $3.5 billion in tax relief for college. The Direct Student Loan program has saved students and taxpayers a total of $15 billion. Student loans are cheaper and can be repaid based on the ability to pay.
AmeriCorps has given over 150,000 young people the chance to earn their way through college by serving their country and their communities. The GEAR UP initiative is raising college aspirations for 450,000 at-risk teenagers. And more needy students receive larger Pell Grants scholarships.
We have made great progress toward enabling all of our citizens to achieve the American Dream. All Americans deserve a chance at the economic opportunity, cultural enrichment, and civic engagement that result from higher education. By building upon our investment in education, we can ensure the future prosperity of our nation.
APPENDIX
ENDNOTES
National Center for Education Statistics, The Condition of Education 2000, Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Education, 2000, p. 34.
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census (1994), Statistical Brief: More Education Means Higher Career Earnings, p. 2.
U.S. Department of Education, National Library of Education (1999), College for All? Is There Too Much Emphasis on Getting a Four-Year Degree?, pp 30-31.
The Condition of Education 2000, pp. 49, 149 (Table 32-1) (using three-year averages for low-income students, African Americans, and Hispanics), 151 (Table 32-3).
National Center for Education Statistics, Digest of Education Statistics 1999, Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Education, 2000, p. 156 (Table 142).
The College Board, "College Board Reports 'Decade of Promise' for America's College-Bound Students As Record Numbers Take the SAT and Advanced Placement Courses," August 31, 1999 (available at < www.collegeboard.org/press/senior99/html/990831.html >) [hereinafter "College Board SAT/AP Report"].
Unless otherwise noted, the data come from The Condition of Education 1999, pp. 132, 140, 142, 152, 274-76.
The Condition of Education 2000, p. 156 (Table 38-3).
The Condition of Education 2000, pp. 15, 129 (Table 10-1).
McPherson, Michael S., and Morton Owen Schapiro (1998), The Student Aid Game: Meeting Need and Rewarding Talent in American Higher Education, p. 39.
The College Board (1997), Memory, Reason, Imagination: A Quarter Century of Pell Grants.
Kane, Thomas J (1999), The Price of Admission: Rethinking How Americans Pay for College, p. 127.
Student Lending Update, "Interview with James Gathard, Senior Vice President for Business Executives for NationsBank Education Loans," January 13, 1998.
Macro International (1999), Five-Year Assessment of the Direct Loan program.
Aguirre International (1999), An Evaluation of AmeriCorps Summary, pp. 3, 8.
U.S. Department of Labor, FY 2001 Budget Justifications of Appropriation Estimates and Performance Plans for Committee on Appropriations, p. TES-91.
U.S. Department of Education, National Library of Education (1999), College for All? Is There Too Much Emphasis on Getting a Four-Year Degree?, Washington, DC, pp 26, 30-31.
National Center for Education Statistics, The Condition of Education 2000, Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Education, 2000, p. 34.
U.S. Department of Labor (1999), Futurework: Trends and Challenges for Work in the 21st Century, Washington, DC, p. vii.
Council of Economic Advisors (2000), Economic Report of the President, p. 137.
The Condition of Education 2000, pp. 15, 129 (Table 10-1).
The Condition of Education 2000, p. 33.
Digest of Education Statistics 1999, p. 127 (Table 108); The Condition of Education 2000, p. 154 (Table 38-1).
Adelman, C. (1999), Answers in the Tool Box: Academic Intensity, Attendance Patterns, and Bachelor's Degree Attainment, Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Education.
Digest of Education Statistics 1999, p. 156 (Table 142).
The College Board, "More Schools, Teachers, and Students Accepted the AP Challenge in 1998-99," August 31, 1999 (available at < www.collegeboard.org/press/senior99/html/990831b.html >); College Board SAT/AP Report.
College Board SAT/AP Report.
The Condition of Education 2000, pp. 49, 149 (Table 32-1) (using three-year averages for low-income students, African Americans, and Hispanics), 151 (Table 32-3).
The Condition of Education 2000, p. 156 (Table 38-3).
The Condition of Education 2000, p. 56.
National Center for Education Statistics, The Condition of Education 1999, Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Education, 1999, p. 34.
Selection of Recent, Major Economic Policy Documents
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Clinton-Gore Administration: Modernizing America's Schools
President Clinton Challenges Corporate America To Invest In America's New Markets
Details of the New Markets / Renewal Communities Agreement
President Clinton: Helping Disadvantaged Youth
Letter on Increasing High-Skilled Workers
President Clinton Announces New Public-Private Initiative To ReduceWeather-Related Air Travel Delays
The Minimum Wage: Increasing the Reward for Work
President Clinton's State of the Union Address
The Trade and Development Act of 2000
The Clinton-Gore Administration FY2001 Budget
President Clinton Signs Legislation Expanding Opportunities for America's Senior Citizens
President Clinton's Radio Address: Congress' Costly Tax Cuts Will Drain the Surplus
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The Clinton-Gore Administration: Fiscally Responsible, Targeted Tax Cuts
College Opportunity Tax Cut: Providing Tax Incentives to Make Higher Education More Affordable
Initiatives to Expand Access to Basic Education and Improve Childhood Development in Poor Countries
A New Opportunity Agenda for Higher Education
The Clinton/Gore Administration: Strengthening Manufacturing for the 21st Century
President Clinton and Vice President Gore: Major New
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President Clinton and Other G-8 Leaders to Create Digital Opportunity Taskforce
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President Clinton's Plan to Expand the Earned Income Tax Credit
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President Clinton's Radio Address: Meeting America's Energy Needs in the 21st Century
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President Clinton: Supporting Passenger Rail for our Nation's Transportation Future
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President Clinton: Working To Eliminate Abusive Child Labor Around the World
Making College More Affordable and Accessible for America's Families
PRESIDENT CLINTON: MODERNIZING AMERICA'S SCHOOLS FOR THE 21STCENTURY
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