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ENVIRONMENT
Science and Technology-
Moving Us Toward a Sustainable Future
"I would like to state
in the strongest possible terms that the Clinton Administration is
committed to moving our nation forward on the path towards sustainable
development. We are especially proud of the progress our country has
made in the past generation in cleaning up our natural environment. We
strongly support long-term environmental research, energy research and
development, reducing emissions of greenhouse gases, ecosystem
management, and pollution prevention, to name just a few important
areas."
--Vice President Al Gore
Advances in environmental science and technology hold tremendous promise
for creation of a sustainable future in which environmental health,
economic prosperity, and quality of life are mutually reinforcing. In
the words of the President's Council on Sustainable
Development:
"A sustainable United States will have a growing economy that
provides equitable opportunities for satisfying livelihoods and a safe,
healthy, high quality of life for current and future generations.Our
nation will protect its environment, its natural resource base, and the
functions and viability of natural systems on which all life depends."
Progress towards sustainability requires us to confront a
variety of local, regional, and global environmental challenges, such as
maintaining biological diversity, safeguarding water resources,
improving air quality, reducing exposure to toxic substances, limiting
the impacts of natural hazards (such as hurricanes, earthquakes, floods,
and forest fires), reversing stratospheric ozone depletion, and
understanding, mitigating, and adapting to climate change.
Confronting these
issues effectively demands a new approach to environmental science and
technology. Continued strong support across the broad spectrum of
research is required but not sufficient. We need to apply science and
technology to the active pursuit of sustainability, to looking ahead and
changing course before environmental problems arise, rather than simply
reacting to problems after they occur. Environmental clean-up and
remediation certainly remain a significant challenge, and it is clear
that an aggressive effort in developing, demonstrating and evaluating
innovative technologies is needed for cost-effective identification,
prioritization, monitoring, and clean-up. But the larger message is that
we cannot afford to repeat the short-sighted actions of the past. We can
best achieve sustainability through the assessment, anticipation, and
avoidance of the negative consequences of environmental change.
The process of
assessment provides the underpinning for the application of science and
technology to the informed decision making upon which sustainability
depends. Critical and comprehensive review by scientists of the state of
scientific understanding of environmental issues, and the synthesis and
communica tion of the results to decisionmakers, is valuable for
research and policy purposes alike. Assessment can advance science by
organizing information, bridging barriers between disciplines,
identifying gaps in knowledge, and pointing to new research directions.
It advances policy by defining the knowledge base for decision making by
laying out the known (with a degree of certainty) and the unknowns in
the science. This process has successfully informed international policy
discussions on major global-scale environmental problems, including
ozone depletion, climate change, and loss of biodiversity. It has proven
equally effective in bringing science to bear on national, regional, and
even local issues. In the past, policy decisions have often been
decoupled from science; strengthening this connection is among the most
fundamental needs in achieving a sustainable future.
Over the past
decade, dramatic improvements in observational, computational, and
communications technologies have enabled the scientific community to
undertake a broad range of interdisciplinary investigations that are
improving our ability to anticipate environmental issues. We have made
much progress in understanding basic earth system mechanisms, such as
the cycling of carbon through the oceans, land, and atmosphere.
Satellite-based measurements have given us new information on the status
and trends of a wide variety of environmental attributes, from ozone in
the stratosphere to forests in the Pacific Northwest. New land-based
monitoring technologies have provided us with accurate records of the
condition of our air, forests, agricultural lands, and water. Accurate
long-term measurements are a necessity for accurate assessments and for
improving the quality of environmental modeling. Such modeling, which
uses high-performance computers to simulate the natural world, is an
increasingly powerful tool. Using models that incorporate our
understanding of biological, chemical, and physical mechanisms, we can
conduct "environmental experiments" and explore the range of outcomes
associated with different policy options, thus helping to anticipate and
avoid environmental problems.
Creating the
knowledge and technologies that can help us avoid environmental problems
and their consequences is one of the greatest challenges facing our
research enterprise. Human actions have long-term effects: the
stratospheric ozone hole won't disappear for 50 years after the
phase-out of ozone-depleting chemicals, and the increased levels of
atmospheric carbon dioxide from fossil fuel use will persist for
centuries, even if we cap emissions today. These negative effects were
not apparent when the technologies that cause them were introduced. A
robust and comprehensive program of environmental research and
development can help us prevent the creation of successive generations
of such technologically induced problems and avoid considerable costs.
To take just one example, the price of cleaning up abandoned hazardous
waste sites and Federal facilities is estimated at $100 billion to $1
trillion over the next 20 years. Our choices have long-term
consequences, and the cost of traveling down any number of suboptimal,
unsustainable technology paths is high. Both factors argue strongly for
investments in prevention, avoidance, and innovation.
ASSESSMENTS:
SCIENCE IN THE PUBLIC INTEREST
Scientific understanding of the environment and environmental quality
have advanced together over the last 30 years. We have made significant
progress in learning how to manage our environment and natural resources
more effectively and to repair damage from past practices, largely due
to our improved scientific knowledge of complex natural systems. At the
same time, our growing knowledge has revealed vast gaps in our
understanding of many environmental issues. We need additional
information and new methods to manage future threats more effectively
and efficiently. The assessment of the state of the environment and our
scientific understanding of it can provide us with the knowledge we need
to anticipate the potential consequences of current decisions, thus
enabling us to make informed policy decisions and to avoid future
problems.
The major
international assessments of global-scale environmental changes
demonstrate why this process is valuable. During the past decade, the
U.S. research community has played an active role in efforts to document
and understand the various components of the earth system - its land,
sea, air, ice, and plant and animal life - on a scale never before
attempted. Spurred by critical environmental problems threatening our
future economy and quality of life, international global-scale efforts
to analyze and understand our world, such as the
World Climate Research Program, the International Geosphere-Biosphere
Programme, and the International Human Dimensions of Global Change
Program, have led to the publication and dissemination of a series of
landmark studies describing the state of our planet.
The results are often dramatic. To take just one example, the
Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) concludes that human activities are altering the
natural greenhouse effect of the earth's atmosphere (that keeps average
global temperature at a comfortable sixty degrees Fahrenheit), leading
to climate changes that pose threats to agriculture, coastal areas,
ecosystems, and human health. The reports of the IPCC, along with the
ongoing World Meteorological Organization Assessments of Stratospheric
Ozone Depletion and the first Global Biodiversity Assessment, form a
truly global appraisal of the earth's environment: what we know about
it, how we are affecting it, and the range of possibilities for the
future.
THE GLOBAL BIODIVERSITY ASSESSMENT
Biodiversity is the array of living organisms, their relationships to
each other and their environment, and their genetic make-up. Humans
depend on earth's biodiversity for food, medicine, construction,
clothing, energy, aesthetics, inspiration, and a host of ecosystem
services that are critical for maintaining environmental quality, such as
the purification of air and water. In many ways, biodiversity is
intertwined in the economic and recreational fabric of our daily lives.
The Global
Biodiversity Assessment (GBA) is the first international peer-reviewed
assessment of the scientific underpinning of the biodiversity issue.
Thousands of leading scientists contributed to this report, which covers
the full range of biological, ecological, economic, and social issues
relating to the current loss of biodiversity. The GBA directly
addresses many of the scientific information needs of countries
participating in the
Convention on Biological Diversity by placing at their fingertips a
compendium of up-to-date knowledge, including the following important
conclusions:
- Documented extinction rates for animals and plants are at least
50-100 times the expected natural rate (the average extinction rate for
the last 500 million years, excluding periods of mass extinction).
Documented rates are certainly an underestimate of the true rate of
extinctions.
- Because of the worldwide loss or conversion of habitats, tens of
thousands of species are already committed to extinction. The extinction
rate could grow to 1,000-10,000 times the background rate.
- Even in the absence of extinction, species populations and the
ecosystems in which they live are declining and increasingly fragmented.
- Unlike previous major global extinctions, human activities are the
primary cause of the current wave of extinctions.
- It is not possible to take preventive action to save all threatened
species, and mitigation options are narrowing over time.
Restoring a
unique national treasure. As part of the South Florida
Ecosystem Restoration Task Force, scientists and resource managers study
the Everglades and Florida Bay ecosystems using Landsat imagery and
other sophisticated methods. Visible are agricultural land (reddish),
water conservation areas (blue with green lines of nutrient-rich
canals), the Miami coastal metropolis (pink), the Everglades (dark
blue-green), and Florida Bay (deep blue).
The process of
assessment also pays dividends on smaller scales, as shown by the
example of the South Florida Ecosystem Restoration Task Force.
The South Florida ecosystem is a unique national treasure that includes
the Everglades and Florida Bay and is inextricably linked to the Florida
Keys to the south. Regional development led to water diversions and
river channelizations that have disrupted the natural flow and led to
steady declines in the area's habitat. The community came to recognize
that the long-term viability and sustainability of the ecosystem is
critical for the tourism and fishing industries, as well as the water
supply, economy, and quality of life for South Florida's entire
population of over six million people. In response, Federal agencies
with capabilities and responsibilities in the area banded together with
the state and tribal organizations to form the Task Force. Its science
subgroup, drawing on relevant expertise from the academic community and
Federal, state, and local organizations, built a solid foundation of
research which supported development of a plan to restore the essential
hydrologic functions of the historic wetlands in and around the
Everglades. The restoration effort got under way in earnest in 1996.
Scientists will continue monitoring studies to guide the restoration
effort as it goes forward.
Among the most
important roles of any assessment is that it identifies gaps in
scientific knowledge, thus helping to define future research agendas.
While specific problems and priorities may be identified, in a more
general sense, the maintenance of a strong fundamental research effort
in the environmental sciences is a necessary condition for the effective
conduct of environmental assessments. This requires not only adequate
funding for the broad spectrum of environmental science and technology,
but also a commitment to excellence in research.
The
Administration's funding record speaks for itself; the amount of funding
for environmental science and technology has increased each year, even
under the pressure of achieving annual decreases in the budget deficit.
We have also established a strong record and continue to place a high
priority on increasing the use of competitive peer-review mechanisms in
awarding funding and providing extramural research support, both in the
traditional fundamental research agencies like the National Science
Foundation and in mission agencies such as the Environmental
Protection Agency. The efforts of individual scientists and teams of
scientists in the academic community and the Federal laboratories
pursuing competitive research opportunities are one of the greatest
strengths of our U.S. research and development system. Another element
critical to effective assessments is the creation and maintenance of
high-quality monitoring and observations programs. The need for
accurate, long-term measurements cuts across all areas of environmental
research, assessment and management. Without them, it is impossible to
construct an accurate picture of the status and trends of environmental
conditions. Real progress has been made in the design and implementation
of environmental monitoring programs, but a number of problems remain.
Many programs are still focused on single parameters and have limited
spatial coverage. Furthermore, it is more difficult to sustain support
for operational systems for resource management purposes than to define
and develop new systems. The challenge is to integrate effectively the
many planned and existing systems to achieve comprehensive, consistent
coverage, striking the right balance between technological innovation
and continuity of measurements. A number of complementary Administration
initiatives address these interlinked issues, including the
Environmental Monitoring and Research Initiative discussed in the next
section.
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ANTICIPATION: RESEARCH TO IMPROVE
PREDICTION
Among the greatest recent advances in environmental science and
technology is the creation of a new generation of models - of
molecules, of ecosystems, of the entire earth system, of human and
industrial processes, and of the interaction between humans and our
environment. These models result largely from a combination of precise
measurement technologies, sophisticated measurement strategies, and vast
increases in computing power. They assemble the experience gained from a
wide array of observations, field programs, and laboratory studies into
rigorous frameworks that are based on the underlying physical, chemical,
and biological laws and principles that govern environmental processes.
Then researchers test them under varied conditions in order to assess
the models' reliability.
These tools
give us an extraordinary capability to simulate environmental processes
on scales from global to microscopic, to test cause and effect, and in
some cases, to accurately forecast the near-term future. They can be used to
understand what has caused various changes, to test different control
strategies, and to develop predictions of what might happen so that
preparations can be made. They provide the information needed for more
effective and lower-cost problem solving, permitting us to examine a
range of longer- term future scenarios and enable us to anticipate the
consequences that can result from current decisions.
Coupled atmosphere-ocean models have been used to determine that human
influences have caused a global warming of about one degree Fahrenheit
over the past century. If the projected increases in the use of coal,
oil, and natural gas over the next century are correct, these models
indicate that global average temperatures would rise by about two degrees to
six degrees Fahrenheit and sea level would rise by about two feet by
the year 2100. Such projections serve as the basis for international
negotiations on possible emissions controls that would prevent
"dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system."
Models of the
Pacific Ocean basin are increasingly accurate in predicting the
appearance of El Nino events. These warmings of the eastern tropical
Pacific Ocean play an important role in determining U.S. seasonal
climate conditions, such as below normal or above normal rainfall along
the Pacific coast, and flooding and droughts in the southeastern and
southwestern United States. Prediction of these El Nino events is
already helping farmers to adjust their planting schedules and crops to
maximize harvests and helping water managers to adjust releases, saving
many millions of dollars. Improved weather forecast models and models of
hurricanes have led to more accurate predictions of where landfall will
occur. Evacuations are more timely, and the death toll from hurricanes
has dropped over the past few decades.
Without the
predictive power of high performance computing and satellite
monitoring, the death and damage toll from Hurricane Fran would have been higher. This
computer-enhanced satellite photograph shows the hurricane just before
it came ashore at Cape Fear, North Carolina, in 1996. The 115 miles per
hour winds of the 60,000 square mile storm killed 34 people and
destroyed nearly $1 billion worth of property.
Environmental
modeling also proves useful outside of the areas of climate and weather.
Models of the flow of groundwater are helping to pinpoint where
contaminants are going as they move below the ground. Such models are
also being used to test pumping plans so that contaminants can be
removed from the water and to slow the flows of the underground
pollutant streams, thereby reducing potential adverse impacts.
Over the past
four years, modeling advances have significantly improved our
understanding of fisheries, enabling forecasts of future stocks that are
improving the management of this important natural resource. For
example, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Bering
Sea Fisheries Oceanography Coordinated Investigations Program now
enables pollock stocks to be predicted three years in advance, a
significant contribution to the sustainability of this $1 billion
industry. The percentage of total stocks in the "unknown status"
category has been reduced from 30 percent to 22 percent. This improved
understanding has s upported fisheries management decisions that have
resulted in a decrease in the number of over-fished or over-utilized
stocks from 45 percent in 1992 to 33 percent in 1995.
These and many
other examples, ranging from reducing the use of materials in products
to improving the design of cars and airplanes for more efficient energy
use, are helping to enhance public safety, to improve the environment,
and to make societal activities more resilient to environmental
conditions - and doing so in an economical manner through building of
computer models rather than by building expensive, but incomplete,
physical models, or conducting potentially harmful experiments on the
environment itself.
VEGETATION/ECOSYSTEM MODELING AND ANALYSIS
PROJECT
The question of how ecosystems will respond to climate change and
concurrent changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations is one
of the most important in the study of global change. Until recently,
there has been little capability to model such changes and begin to
assess vulnerabilities. The
Vegetation/Ecosystem Modeling and Analysis Project (VEMAP) effort is
providing a capability to do so by running a selection of ecological
models for different climate scenarios and comparing the results. It is
being conducted through a government-private partnership, with the
National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the Electric Power
Research Institute, and the U.S. Forest Service all taking part.
VEMAP
represents the state of the art in terms of predicting equilibrium
responses of terrestrial ecosystems to climate change and elevated
atmospheric carbon dioxide levels. For assessment purposes, VEMAP
provides policymakers and others with an initial indication of the
sensitivity of natural ecosystems to climate change. Results to date
clearly indicate that changes in climate parameters and carbon dioxide
levels, both individually and collectively, could alter ecosystem
structure by causing shifts, expansions, and/or contractions of forests,
grasslands, and other major plant ecosystems. Such changes could also
alter the basic functions of terrestrial ecosystems, including the rate
of plant growth and the amount of carbon stored in land ecosystems.
The results of
the VEMAP simulations are already providing useful input for other types
of assessments of the effects of climate change. For instance, data on
vegetation distribution patterns and tree growth have been used in an
analysis of the effects of climate change on the timber industry. The
vegetation redistribution results are also being incorporated into
analyses of the implications of climate change for wildlife. Because
the distribution and abundance of most animals is closely linked to
vegetation, it is critical that assessments of impacts of climate change
on animals incorporate both direct effects of changes in climate
parameters and indirect effects due to changes in vegetation structure
and function. |
ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND RESEARCH INITIATIVE
Working through the National Science and Technology Council (NSTC), the
Federal government is developing a national framework for an integrated
monitoring and research network in response to the Vice President's call
for a Report Card on the Health of the Nation's Ecosystems by 2001. This
effort will allow, for the first time, a comprehensive evaluation of our
nation's environmental resources and its ecological systems, thus
producing a sound scientific information base to support natural
resource assessment and decision making. It will add value to existing
programs by linking broad-based survey, inventory, and monitoring
information to research on environmental processes. An important result
of this effort will be the provision of information to the public on
what it is getting in return for its annual investment of over $120
billion in pollution abatement and control. The Departments of
Agriculture, Energy, and the Interior; the Environmental Protection
Agency; the National Aeronautics and Space Administration; the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; and the National Science
Foundation are partners in this venture.
A key aspect of
this initiative is to achieve closer linkage of Federal environmental
monitoring and research networks and programs, which together spend
about $650 million annually. Many of these programs focus on a single
resource or issue. Better integration of scientific data produced from
the nation's numerous remote sensing, inventories, surveys, intensive
monitoring, and research networks - nearly 15,000 Federal environmental
monitoring sites - will allow the simultaneous assessment of multiple
resources and will contribute to a better understanding of the causes
and effects of environmental change. This ability to predict how an
action will affect the health of ecosystems in the future will allow
significant advances from our current management of ecosystems and
natural resources. Work on this important initiative is well under way:
- A draft framework for integration has been completed and
published.
- A mid-Atlantic Regional Workshop in April 1996 laid the basis for a
pilot demonstration project that will begin in early 1997.
- A National Workshop in September 1996 endorsed the draft framework.
- An interagency Integrated Environmental Monitoring Steering
Committee is coordinating program development, working closely with the
Federal
Geographic Data Committee, the
Interagency Task Force on Monitoring of Water Quality, and other
relevant organizations.
This initiative
will be linked to both local decision-makers and to global environmental
programs. It is a partnership with state and local governments,
nongovernmental organizations, private industry, and citizens - the
people whose decisions affect our nation's environment. Coordinating
this nationwide effort with those of other nations, and with the major
global-scale observation programs that are now being defined and
implemented, can lead to an international monitoring network capable of
detecting large-scale, long-term environmental changes, such as
improvements in response to environmental policies or detection of new,
and perhaps unanticipated changes due to climate and other environmental
or anthropogenic change.
AVOIDANCE: APPLYING SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY TO
CREATE SUSTAINABLE PROCESSES AND PRODUCTS
In the next three decades, the population of the United States will grow
by 60 million people - an increase of approximately 40,000 individuals
per week. Our economy is expected to more than double in size during
this same period. Given these trends, we must develop a new generation
of technologies capable of supplying the goods and services that society
needs with less energy, fewer materials, and far less environmental
damage. We cannot afford significant increases in industrial emissions
and use of natural resources.
A "do more with
less strategy" that emphasizes increased efficiency in energy use and
industrial processes brings significant economic and environmental benefits.
Many industries already realize this. The "Pollution Prevention Pays"
program developed by 3M has cut overall emissions by more than a billion
pounds since 1975 while saving $500 million, and Chevron has saved $10
million in waste disposal costs in the first three years of its "Save
Money and Reduce Toxics" program. At a macroeconomic level, a 1993
analysis by the Department of Energy indicated that a 10-20 percent
reduction in waste by American industry would result in a cumulative
increase of almost $2 trillion in our Gross Domestic Product by 2010 and
generate nearly two million new jobs. The global market for
environmental goods and services is presently estimated to be about $400
billion and is expected to grow to over $500 billion by the year 200
0. The U.S. market is now $170 billion and will approach $200 billion by
the year 2000.
The required efficiency improvements in our technological
infrastructure can only be achieved through collaboration among
industry, academia, and communities to develop long-term goals, measure
performance along multiple dimensions and scales, and implement
complementary policies to encourage high levels of innovation.
Understanding current (and anticipating future) requirements for natural
resources, and reducing our reliance on virgin sources, is critical to
achieving successful improvements in efficiency. Over the past four
years, the Administration has collaborated with various industry sectors
to both set long-term goals and develop technological roadmaps to
achieve those objectives. For example, the technology roadmap developed
with the pulp and paper industry is expected to drive down environmental
compliance costs from more than $11 billion to $3-4 billion by 2020.
By helping to
reduce costs and by stimulating market adoption of U.S.
renewable energy technologies, the Administration is accelerating the
environmental, economic, and security benefits of increased use of
renewable resources. This Northern California wind farm is an example
of how fundamental and applied research helps the renewable energy
industry develop advanced products. Wind-generated electricity is
closely competitive with conventional electric power in several
regions.
We must shift
our focus away from traditional, isolated, end-of-pipe
solutions to the integrated design of whole processes and systems of
technologies. For instance, through process changes, Intel, at its
Aloha, Oregon, plant was able to more than double production over a
three-year period with no increase in emissions and without investing in
traditional control technologies. Over time, strategies to make better
use of valuable resources will have to extend across the entire value
chain, from the extraction of raw materials to their processing, use,
disposal, or eventual reuse.
To facilitate
the development and widespread use of more cost-effective environmental
technologies, the environmental regulatory system needs to reward
innovation and encourage the development of more integrated approaches.
Along these lines, Environmental Protection Agency programs such as
Project XL, ReFit (Regulatory Flexibility for Innovative Technology),
and the Common Sense Initiative encourage industry to try to solve environmental problems through agreement on
aggressive goals and standards for pollution prevention rather than
through detailed regulation of industrial processes. As part of these
efforts to reinvent our regulatory system, we will need a new generation
of monitoring technologies that provide flexibility and preserve
accountability for our communities.
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A VISION FOR AMERICA'S ENERGY FUTURE
Maintaining a robust and affordable supply of energy while reducing the
environmental impacts of energy production and use is vital for our
economic prosperity, national security, and environmental quality.
America relies largely on fossil fuels, yet emissions from fossil energy
use are among the most significant threats to sustainable environmental
quality and human health. The consequences of our energy choices are
significant and long-lasting:
- An appliance or an automobile lasts about 15 years.
- Residential and commercial buildings are designed to last 20-30
years or more.
- Power plant technologies last 30-40 years.
- Increased levels of carbon dioxide persist in the atmosphere for
100-200 years.
Energy-related
emissions cause health problems, acid rain, and global warming. They
account for more than 90 percent of sulfur-dioxide, nitrous oxides,
carbon monoxide, volatile organic compounds, and most of the smallest
particulates (those less than 2.5 microns in diameter) emitted by human
activities in the United States. More than 50 million Americans live
in areas where tropospheric ozone concentrations still exceed safe
levels, with significant costs. For example, even though air quality
has improved, increased respiratory-related illnesses due to air
pollution in Los Angeles are estimated to cost more than $9 billion a
year in medical expenses and lost work time.
The burning of
fossil fuels has added vast quantities of greenhouse gases such as
carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Temperatures have increased about one
degree Fahrenheit over the last century, glaciers are retreating
worldwide, and the ten warmest years on record have all occurred since
1980. The current rate of climate change is faster than any experienced
in the last 10,000 years. The likely consequences include negative
impacts on human health, ecosystems, coastal areas, water resources, and
agriculture.
In the past
four years, we have made great strides to combat global warming. The
government is working with over 5,000 partners in the Climate Change
Action Plan to slow the growth rate of carbon dioxide emissions through
a variety of means, including: (1) signing voluntary agreements with the
bulk of our utility industry; (2) forging partnerships with
manufacturer to produce energy efficient computers, buildings, and
lighting systems; and (3) developing innovative technologies and
strategies in forestry, transportation, and other areas. But reducing the
growth rate is not enough; over time, we will have to achieve real
emission reductions to reduce health effects, stabilize atmospheric
carbon dioxide concentrations, and mitigate the impacts of climate
change.
Despite these
efforts, national energy use has increased by over 15 percent from
1990. Efficiency improvements have enabled much of this increase to be
absorbed without a commensurate increase in pollution. However, it
appears that demand growth is now beginning to outstrip efficiency
gains. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that
U.S. consumption, driven by continued low prices, will rise more than
one third over the next 20 years, with significant continued emissions
of carbon. According to the EIA:
- New cars bought through 2005 will emit 2,000 million metric tons of
carbon (MMTC) over their lifetimes, while using 20 billion barrels of
oil.
- Electricity technology choices from now to 2005 will result in
emissions of more than 1,600 MMTC over the lifetimes of the
technologies.
A robust energy
future for the United States requires a diverse portfolio of
technologies and options that allow us to modify our current energy
supply system to include more efficient conversion of fossil fuels, to
shift from higher carbon fuels to lower carbon fuels, to increase
utilization of renewable energy technologies and, in the longer term,
develop nuclear energy options while greatly enhancing energy end-use
efficiency. For these reasons, the Administration has consistently
recommended budget increases for clean energy research, development, and
demonstration.
CREATING A DIVERSE PORTFOLIO
A number of organizations are looking toward the future and seeing a
world with a very different mix of energy resources. The World Energy
Council has forecast that alternative fuels could meet the bulk of our
energy needs by 2050. Royal Dutch Shell, the largest and most
profitable oil company in the world, envisions a future in which energy
efficiency improves, use of renewable energy sources grows, and fossil
fuels peak in the middle of the next century. Chris Fay, CEO of Shell
U.K. Ltd., has noted the challenge and the opportunity:
"There is clearly a limit to fossil fuel...but what about the
growing gap between demand and fossil fuel supplies? Some will
obviously be filled by hydroelectric and nuclear power. Far more
important will be the contribution of alternative renewable energy
supplies."
Science and
technology are an important aspect of meeting this challenge. An
integrated environmental/energy R&D strategy is necessary to reduce
emissions, reduce impacts, and reduce foreign energy dependency without
hurting U.S. economic competitiveness.
Key elements of
such a strategy include defining and agreeing on long-term goals, and
government-private sector cooperation in developing new technologies and
moving hem from the laboratory to the marketplace. We have laid the
groundwork for an improved energy system by strongly supporting energy
efficiency, renewable energy, fusion power, and pollution prevention R&D
to help reduce emissions and create a diverse energy portfolio, and
through strong support of industry-government research and development
partnerships to stimulate innovation.
- The
Partnership for a New Generation Vehicle program, described in detail
in the Technology chapter, joins the big
three U.S. auto makers, Federal agencies, and many suppliers of
materials and equipment in an effort to develop a more efficient car.
- The Departments of Energy and Agriculture
are cooperating on biomass energy research and development, working with
private companies to demonstrate power projects for rural development
and improve technologies for converting crops to liquid and gaseous
fuels, with pilot projects in New York, Minnesota, and Iowa.
- In our Building Initiative, a number of agencies are working
together in partnership with industry to develop new technologies and
practices for building more efficient and sustainable housing.
We are pursuing
other renewable options, as well as fusion energy as a long-term
alternative within the framework of international collaboration. There
are many additional opportunities for progress. Taking advantage of such
opportunities remains a fundamental Administration priority.
Great global
potential exists for renewable energy. This Shell Oil Company
forecast shows increasing energy demand, with much greater dependence on
energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies and less on fossil
fuels. The primary challenge to expanding the role of renewable energy
resources is the need to further reduce costs to ensure that competitive
renewable energy technology is available in domestic and international
markets. This availability depends on sufficient research and
development investments now.
LOOKING AHEAD: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND
TECHNOLOGY FOR A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE The
Administration's accomplishments and plans for environmental research
and development demonstrate its commitment to sustainability and to
defining and implementing the science and technology agenda that will
support this goal. We are beginning to apply science and technology in
the active pursuit of sustainable environmental quality by assessing,
anticipating, and avoiding environmental problems. In addition, we
remain committed to improving scientific understanding of fundamental
biogeochemical processes. This knowledge can be used to address problems
created in decades past from inappropriate, ill-informed, and illegal
disposal of toxic chemical wastes.
Instead of
looking at environmental problems in isolation, we are adopting a more
integrated view of environmental problem-solving that recognizes the
connections between environmental issues. We are expanding the
traditional single-agency, single-discipline analysis of the environment
to a broader multi-agency, multi-disciplinary approach that fosters
better collaboration between physical, chemical, biological, social, and
economic scientists. Better coordination among Federal agencies is
improving the government's effectiveness in addressing environmental
problems of national importance and mutual interest. We will continue to
refine our strategy, and to build upon the tradition of bipartisan
support for the application of science and technology to environmental
quality as we pursue the near-term priorities outlined below.
ENDOCRINE DISRUPTORS ASSESSMENT
A growing body of scientific evidence has begun to suggest that a range
of chemicals we have introduced into the environment may be producing
adverse health effects in humans and in wildlife by disrupting endocrine
system function. These chemicals, collectively referred to as endocrine
disruptors, exert their effects by mimicking or interfering with actions
of hormones.
Endocrine Disrupting Chemicals (EDCs) include some pesticides (such
as DDT and its derivatives), industrial chemicals (such as surfactants
and PCBs), drugs (such as DES), and contaminants (such as dioxins).
Most of the
adverse biological effects ostensibly associated with exposure to
endocrine disruptors, such as physical and behavioral reproductive
dysfunction, have been observed in wildlife populations that received
relatively high levels of exposure to persistent chlorinated compounds.
It is unclear whether similar, albeit more subtle, effects are occurring
in humans or in wildlife populations at lower exposure levels, as
insufficient data exist. Reports of possible declines in sperm
production in humans over the last four decades - as well as increases
in rates of certain cancers that may have an endocrine-related basis
(breast, prostate, testicular )-have led to speculation about
environmentally mediated endocrine disruption. These observations,
coupled with data from controlled laboratory studies on reproductive,
neurologic and immunologic effects following exposure to some EDCs, have
generated a climate of concern surrounding the potential consequences of
exposure to endocrine disruptors. The fact that many of the same
hormones and their receptors are present across different species,
genera, classes and even different phyla of organisms suggests that
effects reported in one species from exposure to endocrine disrupting
chemicals could have widespread biological implications. Relative
ecological and human health risks are undetermined, however.
Given the
widespread distribution and persistence of some EDCs in the environment
and the potential for serious effects in human, fish and wildlife
populations, a Federal research strategy is being developed through the
NSTC. To this end the NSTC established a working group involving 14
Federal agencies to address EDCs as a coordinated national effort. The
working group is proceeding through a three-step process designed to (1)
develop a research planning framework, (2) conduct an inventory of
Federally supported research on endocrine disruptors, and (3) formulate
a Federal research strategy.
Since the NSTC
identified EDCs as a priority initiative in November 1995, the Working
Group has completed a research planning framework, "The Health and
Ecological Effects of Endocrine Disrupting Chemicals-A Framework for
Planning," which was presented to representatives of national,
nongovernmental, and international funding agencies at a public meeting
in November 1996. In addition, an inventory of Federally supported research
on EDCs was released to the public at that time. The inventory can be
accessed on the Internet at http://www.epa.gov/endocrine. It is
being expanded to include additional Federal entries, as well as entries
from industry and nongovernment organizations. Moreover, the inventory
structure developed by the NSTC working group is being used as a model
for launching a similar European effort to inventory on-going research
on EDCs.
NATURAL HAZARDS INFORMATION AND MITIGATION
This Administration is strongly committed to reducing losses from
natural disasters by supporting programs in observing, documenting,
understanding, assessing, and predicting the potential consequences of
natural hazards. Highly populated urban and metropolitan areas are
especially vulnerable to natural hazards, as illustrated by the meteoric
rise of government expenditures and private losses in recent years.
Natural hazards of terrestrial origin (earthquakes, volcanic eruptions,
landslides, tsunamis, hurricanes and other severe storms, tornadoes and
high winds, floods, wildfires, and drought) and solar-terrestrial
hazards (solar flares and geomagnetic storms) are inevitable. The
long-term effects of natural disasters - the lingering disruption of
entire communities, persisting long after the event - are determined as
much by societal behavior and practice as by nature itself. The impacts
of natural disasters can be, at a minimum, mitigated or, in some
instances, prevented entirely.
Three major
policy emphases are recommended to enable the nation to better meet the
challenges posed by natural disasters: (1) anticipate and assess the
risk, rather then simply reacting to disasters; (2) focus on a
comprehensive approach to mitigation that builds in resilience at the
earliest planning stages; and, (3) implement warning and information
dissemination systems that allow society to bring its resilience into
play. The research agenda to support these objectives includes:
- Improving understanding of the physical and biological nature
of natural hazards.
- Improving understanding of the impacts of
natural hazards on human health, ecological systems, and socioeconomic
framework (to improve the resilience of these systems to natural
variability, particularly extreme events).
- Expanding the base of new
environmental technologies (especially engineering and technological
capabilities for natural disaster reduction).
- Improving data management.
- Improving assessments of risk with respect to geographical and
temporal specificity of risks likely from individual hazards and to
cumulative risk associated with multiple hazards.
ASSESSING THE REGIONAL IMPLICATIONS OF GLOBAL
CHANGE
Over the past decade, a series of global environmental changes have been
documented in increasing detail. Not only have we demonstrated that
climate change, the loss of biodiversity, stratospheric ozone depletion,
alteration of the land surface, and changes in the nitrogen balance of
the earth's soils and waters are all occurring and changing the
environment on a global scale, but we have also established beyond a
reasonable doubt that human activities are among the driving sources of
such change. We are recognizing that these changes are interrelated, and
that they form a suite of multiple stresses affecting people and the
earth's ecosystems in numerous ways.
Increased
regional-level understanding of the environment and how it is changing
is needed to better explain the relationship between multiple stresses,
and their effects on ecosystems. Even more importantly, such knowledge
is necessary for the design of effective mitigation and adaptation
measures. Achieving this enhanced understanding requires a number of
changes in the
U.S. Global Change Research Program, and we are cooperating with the
participating agencies and the science community to incorporate the
following approaches into our long-term research strategy.
Regionally Resolved Estimates of the Timing and Magnitude of Climate
Change: The earth is a complex system with physical, chemical, and
biological processes interacting on a wide range of temporal and spatial
scales. For example, human-induced increases in atmospheric carbon
dioxide are causing climate change, and are also likely to have a direct
biological impact manifested as changes in the extent and distribution
of the earth's vegetative cover. This, in turn, affects hydrology
and surface albedo and could further affect climate. Direct experiments
involving these complex interactions and feedbacks, which would yield
reliable predictions of future climates, are not possible. Instead,
scientists must depend on simplified predictive models of the climate
system.
The resolution
of these models needs to be improved to make them more useful for work
on the ecological, economic, and social consequences of climate change.
They must be able to simulate natural phenomena on scales of tens rather
than hundreds of kilometers. Achieving this improvement involves
theoretical and practical challenges. The theoretical challenges to the
down-scaling involve a range of issues including how to deal with cloud
physics and how to represent the effects of highly variable topography
on climate. The practical challenges are focused around the issue of
enhanced computational power.
Regional
Analyses of the Consequences of Climate Change Alone and in the Context
of Other Pressures on Ecosystems: Decision makers, including
resource managers, business people, and politicians, as well as the
general public want to know what the consequences of climate change will
be for their regions. They have a keen interest in the potential
connections between climate change and the frequency and magnitude of
disturbances. Some of the regionally specific questions being asked
about disturbance include: Will wildfire frequency and severity
increase in the southwestern United States? Will the frequency and
severity of droughts change in the Great Plains? Will the number and
extent of severe floods increase in the upper Mississippi Basin?
Will the eastern seaboard be subject to more frequent and severe
tropical storms and hurricanes?
Disturbances like fire, drought, floods, and strong winds can, in turn,
affect the function and structure of land and water ecosystems.
Properties of ecosystems that humans value, such as plant productivity,
carbon-storage capacity, and species composition may change in response
to climate change. Scientists do not yet have the capacity to predict
these changes with confidence. To do so will require the study of
complex interactions among ecological processes through long-term
monitoring activities, large-scale field manipulations, and simulation
modeling efforts.
Integrated
Assessment Methods: Global climate change is the subject of
wide-ranging debates, intense negotiations, and policy decisions that
have the potential to reach into many aspects of society. There is a
pressing need to support these processes with careful analyses that
focus on predictions of causes and effects of climate change through
efforts that bring together the physical, biological economic, and
social sciences. Forecasts of concentrations of greenhouse gases and
atmospheric aerosols, which are integral to climate analyses, must
consider the forces of economics and technology that drive and
control emissions. In turn, assessments of possible ecological and
social impacts, and the analyses of alternative strategies for
adaptation and mitigation, need to be based on careful climate science
that takes into account its own uncertainties.
This challenge
of integrated assessment of climate change is beginning to be approached
through a coupled-model framework. The components of this framework vary
among extant integrated assessments, but often include an economic model
for analyses of emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosol precursors,
atmospheric chemistry and general circulation models, and models of
natural and managed ecosystems for analyses of consequences of climate
change. At present, models describing complex nonmarket societal
decisions are generally not included in the coupled-model framework.
The existing integrated assessment models all run at the global scale,
but also are regionally resolved. The challenge is to refine the
integrated assessment concept and to make the results of this work
available to decision makers.
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THE HUMAN "FINGERPRINT" ON CLIMATE
CHANGE
For many years, scientists have predicted that greenhouse gases and
microscopic particles that are building up in the earth's atmosphere due
to human activity will eventually alter the climate. One of the
decade's most important findings in atmospheric science indicates that
this forecast is coming true. For the first time, the vast majority of
the world's leading climate experts agreed that "the balance of evidence
suggests that there is a discernible human influence on global climate."
This finding, reported by the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), is based on a variety of observational and modeling results, including
measurements of temperature taken from balloons, land, and ocean
regions. The conclusion of scientists from more than 100 countries
gives new credence to the concern that human-induced climate change
could have profound consequences for the economy, human health, and
quality of life in future generations.
Global
temperature records indicate an
overall warming of about one degree Fahrenheit from the 1860s to the
1990s. Additional records derived from indirect measures such as tree
rings and ice cores suggest that the most recent decades are the warmest
period since at least 1400 A.D., and perhaps since the last interglacial
period about 80,000 years ago. Based on plausible ranges of future
emissions of greenhouse gases, models suggest that the global surface
temperature could increase an average of two to six degrees Fahrenheit
by 2100.
Scientists
agree that human activity is changing the composition of the atmosphere,
but the human influence on climate is more difficult to distinguish
because some climate fluctuation is natural. The task is further
complicated because the rising average global temperature shows wide
spatial variation: some parts of the world have warmed more than others,
and some have grown cooler.
In making their
assessments, scientists compare observations and computer model
simulations that generate patterns of climate change to be expected from
a range of different factors, both natural and human-induced. For
example, unique patterns of human-induced temperature change are
expected from the combination of growing industrial emissions of
greenhouse gases (that trap heat emitted from the surface) and sulfate
particles, or aerosols (that cool the atmosphere by reflecting incoming
sunlight). Researchers analyze these characteristic patterns or
"fingerprints" in an approach akin to that used by a doctor trying to
explain a general rise in body temperature by recognizing a diagnostic
pattern of a specific illness.
Since 1990, climatologists have grown increasingly confident in their
climate simulations because the models now incorporate additional
processes such as the effects of sulfate aerosols and the effect of
ocean currents on heat transport. When these factors are included,
model simulations of the last 130 years are in quite reasonable accord
with observed changes over this period.
These new
results have enabled scientists to conclude that the observed patterns
of climate change are highly likely to be due primarily to human
activities, and are inconsistent with changes that would be caused
solely by changes in solar radiation, volcanoes, and other natural causes.
With continuing use of fossil fuels, scientists expect the similarity
between model-predicted changes due to human activities and observed
patterns of actual change to become stronger in years to come.
This
incontrovertible record is among the most fundamental evidence
of global-scale human perturbation of the earth system. This figure
displays the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide over the last 1,000
years. Particularly rapid growth began in the mid 1800s, when the
industrial revolution resulted in significant increases in carbon
dioxide emissions that continue today. After 1950, the growth rate
again jumped significantly.
IPCC KEY FINDINGS ON THE POTENTIAL EFFECTS OF CLIMATE
CHANGE
Human-induced regional and global changes in temperature, precipitation,
soil moisture, and sea level add important new stresses on ecological
and socio-economic systems that are
already affected by pollution, increasing resource extraction, and
non-sustainable management practices.
The projected changes in climate include potentially disruptive effects
that will affect the economy and the quality of life for this and future
generations. Human health will be adversely affected through an
increase in the rate of heat-related mortality and in the potential for
the spread of vector-borne diseases such as malaria, dengue, yellow
fever, and encephalitis and non-vector-borne diseases such as cholera
and salmonellosis.
Food security will be threatened in some regions of the world,
especially in the tropics and subtropics, where many of the world's
poorest people live, even though the effects of climate change on total
global food production may be small to moderate in comparison to the
effects of population change and increasing nutrition demands.
Water resources will be increasingly stressed, leading to substantial
economic, social, and environmental costs, especially in regions that
are already water-limited and where there is strong competition among
users.
Human habitat loss will occur in regions where small islands and coastal
plain and river areas are particularly vulnerable to sea level rise,
leading to environmental refugees.
Natural ecosystems will be degraded because the composition, geographic
distribution, and productivity of many ecosystems will shift as
individual species respond to changes in climate. This may lead to
reductions in biological diversity and in the goods and services
ecosystems can provide for society. Some extreme weather events,
such as droughts and floods, will occur more frequently. Developing
countries are more vulnerable than developed countries to climate change
because of reduced flexibility and resilience caused by their
socio-economic conditions.
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A NEW LOOK AT MIDWEST
FLOODING
More than three years after the Great Midwest Flood of 1993, life is
back to normal in the Upper
Mississippi River Basin (UMRB), but the way the basin is studied has
changed forever. The President stimulated this change as the flood
waters began to recede and he wondered how to prevent damage and loss of
life when the floodwaters rise again. One way seemed to be for the
Federal government to purchase lands where residents were at greatest
risk, move the people out of the floodplain, and then allow the lands to
revert to wetlands. But which lands?
The scientists
asked to make the recommendations quickly set about gathering the
information required to answer not only this question, but also to meet
the greater goals of reducing the nation's vulnerability to the dangers
that result from floods, and to preserve the natural resources and
functions of the floodplains. The result is a comprehensive database
that makes full use of science and advances in technology to improve
management of the floodplain.
A
multidisciplinary, multi-agency team of researchers, known as the
Scientific Assessment and Strategy Team (SAST), drawn from more than
a dozen Federal agencies quickly concluded that the problem is not only
in the floodplain, but in the higher elevations, or uplands, which
comprise the majority of the river basin, and where much precipitation
tends to collect. The team of experts recommended a new approach,
managing the basin as a system, rather than as a patchwork of individual
components. This requires information on topics as diverse as the
basin's hydrology, geology, ecology, topography, and hydraulics, as well
as information such as patterns of insurance payments, location of
hazardous waste sites, and the configuration of wastewater treatment
plants.
In an intensive
effort, the researchers identified and consolidated existing
information, including the wealth of pre- and post-flood satellite images
acquired for other purposes. These reveal details about forests,
agriculture, bare soil, water, and urban areas. The researchers tapped
the resources of approximately 20 Federal agencies, 13 state
governments, and hundreds of local, county, and regional governments, as
well as banks, insurance companies, and other organizations.
Scientists are
using radar and topographic data to assess more accurately the
potential for future flooding and to lessen its impacts. This image of
the Missouri River indicates the effects on low-lying agricultural land
from a burst levee which scoured a deep channel across the fields,
showing up as a purple band in the center. This picture, taken from the
NASA/Jet Propulsion Laboratory Topographic Synthetic Aperture Radar
System on a DC-8 aircraft, is an example of the use of experimental
instrumentation to support resource management and natural disaster
mitigation.
The data form the basis for a computerized regional
geographic information system (GIS) of the entire upper Mississippi
River Basin. It makes full use of information technology to provide the
data required to manage the floodplain. Due to its existence, more is
known about the 1993 flood than about any other natural disaster.
Reports by the
team of experts influenced studies or actions including the following:
- Project funds provided the data that allowed the Corps of
Engineers to run the first-ever integrated hydraulic model of the
Mississippi River. The results are changing prevailing views on levees,
which are raised structures designed to keep a river from overflowing.
The model revealed that levees have an impact not only immediately
upstream or downstream, but throughout the course of the river. This
finding that will influence which levees are maintained or rebuilt.
- Data showed that many people, as they awaited the advancing flood
waters, purchased flood insurance. This finding prompted Congress to
enact legislation that lengthened the period during which a subscriber
must wait for a policy to become effective, from five to 30 days. The
change will save the Flood Insurance Program
millions of dollars it would otherwise pay out to last-minute buyers,
while still providing coverage to program participants who recognize the
need for continuous protection, and pay for it.
- Some agricultural areas are being allowed to revert to wetlands,
which naturally retain water during floods.
- One particularly useful tool currently being developed is a series
of maps of one area of the Missouri River. These show how current
scientific and technical information on different features of the
floodplain can be consolidated and used to improve floodplain
management.
Federal
agencies and non-federal organizations will continue to maintain the
database. So far, the Internet site has been contacted about 16,000
times by people in the Federal, state, and local governments, and at
U.S. and international universities, who can access, download, and use
the data for their own research. The address is
http://edcwww.cr.usgs.gov/sast-home.html.
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FROM
WASTEWATER, A GARDEN SPRINGS
Amidst the millions of acres of Arizona desert, a 12-acre oasis may
not seem like much - but the tiny green space is home to beaver,
muskrats, bobcats, reptiles, and more than 45 bird species. Little do
they know that the "oasis," which residents of Phoenix know as the Tres Rios wetlands,
exists thanks to the treated wastewater pumped through it every day.
This enterprising research effort is a "constructed" wetland, designed
by the City of Phoenix and the
U.S. Bureau of
Reclamation to demonstrate treatment technologies for reclaiming
municipal, industrial, domestic, and agricultural wastewater. It is an
example of the kind of innovative thinking stimulated by the
Environmental Technology Initiative sponsored by the Environmental
Protection Agency.
Now in its
second year, the Tres Rios project already excels in its primary
purpose: removing contaminants from effluent water while providing high
quality wetland habitat. Like its natural counterparts, this manmade
wetland ably removes nitrogen compounds, such as ammonia, and many other
pollutants from the water, and replenishes the water with the oxygen
required by fish, turtles, and frogs.
The project came about in response to
concern by managers of Phoenix's 91st Avenue Wastewater Treatment Plant
that, despite its current high level of compliance, it might be unable
to meet future clean water standards with existing technology. They
selected two relatively large areas - one a former hayfield and one a
cobblestone-lined portion of the Salt River channel - and a smaller,
12-celled research site where scientists have greater experimental
control over variables that affect water quality treatment.
At all the sites,
researchers monitor how the water quality is affected by factors such as
deep water zones and mixing, specific plants, and the kind of material,
such as clay soil or giant cobbles, that lines the bottom. Much of the
actual "cleansing" work is carried out by populations of microbes that
reduce concentrations of many contaminants, nitrogen, trace metals,
trace organic substances, and pathogens. The research site also provides
a nursery in which the city grows emergent wetland plants which are then
transplanted to other sites.
So far, the
wetlands require only a small portion of the 150 million gallons that
flow through the wastewater treatment plant each day. But city and plant
managers, as well as the residents of Phoenix, are so delighted by their
new recreational and ecological haven that plans are afoot to eventually
expand the wetlands to 800 acres. Such an area could handle virtually
all of the plant's daily output of treated wastewater. It will also give
residents unprecedented access to the secondary benefits a wetland can
afford: a place to birdwatch, hike, ride horses and bikes, welcome and
protect endangered species, and generally learn about one of nature's
special and most productive ecosystems.
The Tres Rios
project will serve as a regional, and possibly a national, platform for
the design, use, and regulation of surface-flow constructed wetlands as
water treatment and habitat restoration sites.
- The Tres Rios constructed wetland is designed to provide
secondary treatment to a municipal Publicly Owned Treatment Works and
provide habitat for endangered species.
- This project is a demonstration-sized pilot study, the results of
which are directly applicable to 20 communities across the country.
- The Bureau of Reclamation, Army Corps of Engineers, Fish and
Wildlife Service, City of Phoenix, and EPA Region 9 are cooperating on
this pilot project.
- The Bureau of Reclamation and the City of Phoenix are working as
partners to raise funds to create a full-scale surface flow constructed
wetland.
- This project is part of EPA's effort to facilitate the
development and use of environmental technologies through the
Environmental Technology Initiative and the
ReFit (Regulatory Flexibility for Innovative Technology) program.
"Tres Rios is an economic
solution to necessary water treatment with additional valuable
benefits that include much needed and highly valued fish and wildlife
habitats, flood control to protect local residents, and recreational
opportunities for all," states Skip Rimsza, the Mayor of Phoenix.
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SELECTED
ADMINISTRATION ACCOMPLISHMENTS
IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
- Created the Committee on Environment and Natural Resources
(CENR)
-Improved coordination and integration of environmental
research and development
- Promoted science-based regulation
- Focused research efforts on saving lives and property from the
effects of earthquakes
- Improved weather forecasting with new monitoring and computer
technologies
- Improved understanding of climate and short-term climate
prediction
-Showed that tropical Pacific Ocean El Ni÷no phenomena
affects the United States -Increased accuracy in predicting the onset
of El Nino events
- Improved understanding of climate change
-Demonstrated human
influence on climate (greenhouse gas and aerosol
emissions) -Increased efforts to understand vulnerabilities to
climate change
- Established more effective natural resource monitoring
-Improved planning and implementation of monitoring activities -Began
integration of environmental monitoring and research programs
- Began a major effort to understand and mitigate the effects of
climate change on human health
- Developed an interagency research plan to address the key scientific
questions about the potential impacts on humans and wildlife of
endocrine disrupting chemicals
- Improved space-based earth observations
-Began converging DOD,
DOC/NOAA, and NASA polar-orbit weather satellite
activities -Restructured the Landsat program to assure continuity and
reduce long-term costs -Introduced new science and technologies in
NASA's Mission to Planet Earth
- Developed a national environmental technology strategy
-Stimulated development, deployment and use of environmental
technologies
- Launched the North American Research Strategy for Tropospheric Ozone
(NARSTO)
-Public-private research partnership with Canada and Mexico
- Improved tools for transportation and air quality monitoring
- Established the Rapid Commercialization Initiative
- Enhanced collaboration between the environmental science, national
security and intelligence communities
-Applied intelligence
technologies to environmental R&D -Declassified selected data sets
useful for environmental studies.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS | Chapter 5
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